Every yield figure, price projection, and market comparison published on this site is built from a defined set of primary sources and a consistent analytical framework. This page documents that framework — what we measure, where the data comes from, and where we draw the line between observed fact and model-based projection.
KM|Capital focuses on three investment-grade metrics: gross rental yield, capital appreciation rate, and liquidity depth (measured as transaction volume per quarter relative to total stock). These three numbers, taken together, give an investor a complete picture of a market's current return profile and its capacity to absorb capital and exit positions.
We do not publish asking-price data, developer marketing projections, or broker-consensus forecasts. Every figure we publish is either derived from observed transaction data or is explicitly labelled as a model-based projection with the assumptions stated.
Where a figure is a range (e.g. "8–12% gross yield"), the range reflects the spread across unit types and floor levels within a single development, not uncertainty about the underlying data.
KM|Capital's analysis draws on four primary data sources, applied differently depending on the asset class and the maturity of the market:
Expo City Dubai residential yields are model-based projections. The residential stock in Expo City is currently under construction and has not yet delivered. No historical rental data exists for these units. All yield figures published for Expo City residential assets are derived from the behavioral proxy model described in Section 02 above. The canonical figures are: 15–18% gross yield for short-term rental configurations (event-driven demand model) and 5–11% gross yield for long-term rental configurations (varies by unit type and project). These are projections only.
These projections are based on observed demand patterns from comparable short-term rental assets in the immediate vicinity, calibrated against hotel rate data and the DWTC event calendar. They represent KM|Capital's best analytical estimate, not a guarantee of future performance.
For all other markets covered on this site — Dubai Islands, Palm Jumeirah, Business Bay, and established districts — yield figures are derived from observed DLD transaction data and active rental listings, and are labelled accordingly.
When a figure is projection-based, you will see the label "projected" or "model-based" adjacent to the number in the article. When a figure is observed, it will reference the data source (e.g., "DLD Q1 2026").
All figures published on this site are reviewed and refreshed on the following schedule, aligned with the KM|Capital quarterly market report:
When a figure changes materially between updates, the relevant article is updated immediately and the change is noted in the article's revision history. Articles carry a visible "Last updated" date in the header for this reason.
The KM|Capital quarterly market report is distributed to registered contacts. To receive it, use the contact page.
If you identify a figure that appears inconsistent, outdated, or incorrectly labelled, contact KM|Capital directly via the contact page. Data corrections are prioritised and applied within 48 hours.